What Is Hindsight Bias In Investing?
You’ve probably heard the expression “hindsight is 20/20.” That saying…
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58
LPX Quote, Financials, Valuation and Earnings
Last price:
$94.39
Seasonality move
:
0.77%
Day range:
$94.26 - $95.41
52-week range:
$71.39 - $122.87
Dividend yield:
1.11%
P/E ratio:
16.18x
P/S ratio:
2.31x
P/B ratio:
3.97x
Volume:
544.3K
Avg. volume:
753.2K
1-year change:
15.23%
Market cap:
$6.6B
Revenue:
$2.9B
EPS (TTM):
$5.88
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.8B | $3.9B | $3.9B | $2.6B | $2.9B | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 20.69% | 40.42% | -1.56% | -33.03% | 13.95% | |
| Cost of Revenues | $1.9B | $2B | $2.4B | $2B | $2.1B | |
| Gross Profit | $867M | $2B | $1.5B | $593M | $832M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 31.1% | 50.14% | 38.87% | 22.98% | 28.29% | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | $212M | $223M | $264M | $257M | $291M | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -$26M | -$27M | -$91M | -$91M | $3M | |
| Operating Expenses | $203M | $224M | $256M | $258M | $294M | |
| Operating Income | $664M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $335M | $538M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | $17M | $13M | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $621M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $248M | $547M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | $71M | $198M | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $125M | $402M | $274M | $74M | $140M | |
| Net Income to Company | $497M | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | $2M | $4M | $3M | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $499M | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $4.48 | $14.19 | $13.94 | $2.47 | $5.91 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $4.46 | $14.09 | $13.87 | $2.46 | $5.89 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | $111M | $97M | $78M | $72M | $71M | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | $112M | $98M | $78M | $72M | $71M | |
| EBITDA | $749M | $1.8B | $1.3B | $380M | $686M | |
| EBIT | $638M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $261M | $560M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $2.8B | $3.9B | $3.9B | $2.6B | $2.9B | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $664M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $335M | $538M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $638M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $261M | $560M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $860M | $835M | $705M | $658M | $680M | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 60.15% | -2.91% | -15.57% | -6.67% | 3.34% | |
| Cost of Revenues | $509M | $529M | $577M | $499M | $519M | |
| Gross Profit | $350M | $306M | $128M | $159M | $163M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 40.7% | 36.65% | 18.16% | 24.16% | 23.97% | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | $54M | $68M | $64M | $66M | $76M | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -$3M | -$17M | -$103M | -$40M | -$18M | |
| Operating Expenses | $54M | $72M | $63M | $66M | $79M | |
| Operating Income | $296M | $234M | $65M | $93M | $84M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | $1M | $1M | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $292M | $218M | -$23M | $65M | $85M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | $24M | $2M | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $37M | $52M | -$10M | $8M | $23M | |
| Net Income to Company | $256M | $191M | -$10M | $59M | $62M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | $3M | $2M | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $256M | $194M | -$8M | $59M | $62M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $2.36 | $2.22 | -$0.11 | $0.81 | $0.89 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $2.34 | $2.20 | -$0.11 | $0.81 | $0.89 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | $108M | $88M | $72M | $72M | $71M | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | $109M | $89M | $72M | $72M | $71M | |
| EBITDA | $320M | $249M | $10M | $101M | $119M | |
| EBIT | $293M | $218M | -$23M | $69M | $86M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $860M | $835M | $705M | $658M | $680M | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $296M | $234M | $65M | $93M | $84M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $293M | $218M | -$23M | $69M | $86M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.8B | $4B | $3.9B | $2.6B | $2.9B | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cost of Revenues | $1.9B | $2.1B | $2.4B | $2B | $2.1B | |
| Gross Profit | $867M | $2B | $1.5B | $593M | $833M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | $211M | $227M | $261M | $262M | $291M | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -$26M | -$30M | -$94M | -$79M | -$2M | |
| Operating Expenses | $204M | $229M | $253M | $267M | $288M | |
| Operating Income | $663M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $326M | $545M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | $16M | $14M | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $621M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $247M | $547M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | $68M | $198M | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $125M | $403M | $274M | $74M | $140M | |
| Net Income to Company | $497M | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | $2M | $4M | $3M | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $499M | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $4.52 | $14.07 | $13.36 | $2.45 | $5.89 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $4.49 | $13.97 | $13.27 | $2.45 | $5.88 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | ||||||
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | ||||||
| EBITDA | $749M | $1.8B | $1.3B | $380M | $686M | |
| EBIT | $638M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $261M | $560M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $2.8B | $4B | $3.9B | $2.6B | $2.9B | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $663M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $326M | $545M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $638M | $1.7B | $1.2B | $261M | $560M | |
| Period Ending | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4B | $3.9B | $2.6B | $2.9B | -- | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cost of Revenues | $2.1B | $2.4B | $2B | $2.1B | -- | |
| Gross Profit | $2B | $1.5B | $593M | $833M | -- | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Selling, General & Admin | $227M | $261M | $262M | $291M | -- | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -$30M | -$94M | -$79M | -$2M | -- | |
| Operating Expenses | $229M | $253M | $267M | $288M | -- | |
| Operating Income | $1.7B | $1.2B | $326M | $545M | -- | |
| Net Interest Expenses | $14M | $9M | $10M | $12M | -- | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | $1.7B | $1.2B | $247M | $547M | -- | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | $68M | $198M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | $403M | $274M | $74M | $140M | -- | |
| Net Income to Company | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | -- | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | $4M | $3M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | -- | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | $14.07 | $13.36 | $2.45 | $5.89 | -- | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | $13.97 | $13.27 | $2.45 | $5.88 | -- | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | $389M | $313M | $288M | $285M | -- | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | $392M | $313M | $288M | $286M | -- | |
| EBITDA | $1.8B | $1.3B | $380M | $686M | -- | |
| EBIT | $1.7B | $1.2B | $261M | $560M | -- | |
| Revenue (Reported) | $4B | $3.9B | $2.6B | $2.9B | -- | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | $1.7B | $1.2B | $326M | $545M | -- | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | $1.7B | $1.2B | $261M | $560M | -- | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Equivalents | $535M | $358M | $369M | $222M | $340M | |
| Short Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Accounts Receivable, Net | $161M | $156M | $106M | $104M | $100M | |
| Inventory | $259M | $277M | $336M | $378M | $358M | |
| Prepaid Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Assets | $15M | $18M | $21M | $23M | $25M | |
| Total Current Assets | $993M | $890M | $854M | $778M | $855M | |
| Property Plant And Equipment | $958M | $1.1B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.6B | |
| Long-Term Investments | $11M | $7M | $6M | $5M | $17M | |
| Goodwill | $25M | $19M | $19M | $19M | $19M | |
| Other Intangibles | $56M | $49M | $45M | $32M | $30M | |
| Other Long-Term Assets | $42M | $137M | $50M | $27M | $26M | |
| Total Assets | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.6B | |
| Accounts Payable | $125M | $180M | $178M | $141M | $139M | |
| Accrued Expenses | $57M | $40M | $55M | $47M | $57M | |
| Current Portion Of Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Current Portion Of Capital Lease Obligations | $8M | $7M | $8M | $6M | $8M | |
| Other Current Liabilities | -- | $34M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Current Liabilities | $295M | $360M | $343M | $274M | $312M | |
| Long-Term Debt | $348M | $346M | $346M | $347M | $348M | |
| Capital Leases | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Liabilities | $842M | $955M | $916M | $880M | $898M | |
| Common Stock | $124M | $102M | $88M | $88M | $86M | |
| Other Common Equity Adj | -$151M | -$174M | -$99M | -$89M | -$122M | |
| Common Equity | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.7B | |
| Total Preferred Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Minority Interest, Total | $10M | $4M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Equity | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.7B | |
| Total Liabilities and Equity | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.6B | |
| Cash and Short Terms | $535M | $358M | $369M | $222M | $340M | |
| Total Debt | $348M | $346M | $346M | $347M | $348M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Equivalents | $535M | $358M | $369M | $222M | $340M | |
| Short Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Accounts Receivable, Net | $161M | $156M | $106M | $104M | $100M | |
| Inventory | $259M | $277M | $336M | $378M | $358M | |
| Prepaid Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Assets | $15M | $18M | $21M | $23M | $25M | |
| Total Current Assets | $993M | $890M | $854M | $778M | $855M | |
| Property Plant And Equipment | $958M | $1.1B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.6B | |
| Long-Term Investments | $11M | $7M | $6M | $5M | $17M | |
| Goodwill | $25M | $19M | $19M | $19M | $19M | |
| Other Intangibles | $56M | $49M | $45M | $32M | $30M | |
| Other Long-Term Assets | $42M | $137M | $50M | $27M | $26M | |
| Total Assets | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.6B | |
| Accounts Payable | $125M | $180M | $178M | $141M | $139M | |
| Accrued Expenses | $57M | $40M | $55M | $47M | $57M | |
| Current Portion Of Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Current Portion Of Capital Lease Obligations | $8M | $7M | $8M | $6M | $8M | |
| Other Current Liabilities | -- | $34M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Current Liabilities | $295M | $360M | $343M | $274M | $312M | |
| Long-Term Debt | $348M | $346M | $346M | $347M | $348M | |
| Capital Leases | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Liabilities | $842M | $955M | $916M | $880M | $898M | |
| Common Stock | $124M | $102M | $88M | $88M | $86M | |
| Other Common Equity Adj | -$151M | -$174M | -$99M | -$89M | -$122M | |
| Common Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Preferred Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Minority Interest, Total | $10M | $4M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Equity | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.7B | |
| Total Liabilities and Equity | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.6B | |
| Cash and Short Terms | $535M | $358M | $369M | $222M | $340M | |
| Total Debt | $348M | $346M | $346M | $347M | $348M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $497M | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $111M | $119M | $132M | $119M | $126M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -$53M | -$14M | $22M | -$8M | $3M | |
| Change in Inventories | -$12M | -$71M | -$66M | -$46M | $9M | |
| Cash From Operations | $659M | $1.5B | $1.1B | $316M | $605M | |
| Capital Expenditures | $77M | $254M | $414M | $300M | $183M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | $15M | -- | $268M | -- | -$17M | |
| Cash From Investing | -$49M | -$247M | -$146M | -$376M | -$183M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -$65M | -$66M | -$69M | -$69M | -$74M | |
| Special Dividend Paid | ||||||
| Long-Term Debt Issued | $350M | $350M | -- | $80M | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -$350M | -$359M | -- | -$80M | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -$200M | -$1.3B | -$900M | -- | -$212M | |
| Other Financing Activities | -$7M | -$13M | -$13M | -$8M | -$6M | |
| Cash From Financing | -$272M | -$1.4B | -$982M | -$77M | -$292M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | $195M | $535M | $371M | $383M | $222M | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | $338M | -$150M | $17M | -$137M | $130M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | $535M | $371M | $383M | $222M | $340M | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $582M | $1.2B | $730M | $16M | $422M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $256M | $191M | -$10M | $59M | $62M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $27M | $31M | $33M | $32M | $33M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | $22M | $45M | $42M | $44M | $9M | |
| Change in Inventories | -$18M | -$5M | $6M | -- | $5M | |
| Cash From Operations | $321M | $201M | $41M | $159M | $105M | |
| Capital Expenditures | $24M | $121M | $132M | $64M | $62M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | -- | -- | $3M | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Investing | -$24M | -$116M | -$132M | -$64M | -$61M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -$16M | -$16M | -$16M | -$17M | -$18M | |
| Special Dividend Paid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -$171M | -$313M | -- | -- | -$24M | |
| Other Financing Activities | -$1M | -$1M | $2M | $1M | $2M | |
| Cash From Financing | -$188M | -$330M | -$14M | -$16M | -$40M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | $420M | $620M | $482M | $160M | $346M | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | $6M | -$4M | $6M | -$18M | -$10M | |
| Additions / Reductions | $109M | -$245M | -$105M | $80M | $4M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | $535M | $371M | $383M | $222M | $340M | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $297M | $80M | -$91M | $95M | $43M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $497M | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $111M | $119M | $132M | $119M | $126M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -$53M | -$14M | $22M | -$8M | $3M | |
| Change in Inventories | -$12M | -$71M | -$66M | -$46M | $9M | |
| Cash From Operations | $659M | $1.5B | $1.1B | $316M | $605M | |
| Capital Expenditures | $77M | $254M | $414M | $300M | $183M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | $15M | -- | $268M | -- | -$17M | |
| Cash From Investing | -$49M | -$247M | -$146M | -$376M | -$183M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -$65M | -$66M | -$69M | -$69M | -$74M | |
| Special Dividend Paid | ||||||
| Long-Term Debt Issued | $350M | $350M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -$350M | -$359M | -- | -- | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -$200M | -$1.3B | -$900M | -- | -$212M | |
| Other Financing Activities | -$7M | -$13M | -$13M | -$8M | -$6M | |
| Cash From Financing | -$272M | -$1.4B | -$982M | -$77M | -$292M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | $338M | -$150M | $17M | -$137M | $130M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $582M | $1.2B | $730M | $16M | $422M | |
| Period Ending | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | $1.4B | $1.1B | $178M | $420M | -- | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | $119M | $132M | $119M | $126M | -- | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -$14M | $22M | -$8M | $3M | -- | |
| Change in Inventories | -$71M | -$66M | -$46M | $9M | -- | |
| Cash From Operations | $1.5B | $1.1B | $316M | $605M | -- | |
| Capital Expenditures | $254M | $414M | $300M | $183M | -- | |
| Cash Acquisitions | -- | $268M | -- | -$17M | -- | |
| Cash From Investing | -$247M | -$146M | -$376M | -$183M | -- | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -$66M | -$69M | -$69M | -$74M | -- | |
| Special Dividend Paid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Issued | $350M | -- | $80M | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -$359M | -- | -$80M | -- | -- | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -$1.3B | -$900M | -- | -$212M | -- | |
| Other Financing Activities | -$13M | -$13M | -$8M | -$6M | -- | |
| Cash From Financing | -$1.4B | -$982M | -$77M | -$292M | -- | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | $2.4B | $2B | $740M | $1.1B | -- | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -$14M | -$5M | -$24M | -$12M | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | -$150M | $17M | -$137M | $130M | -- | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | $2.3B | $2B | $579M | $1.2B | -- | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | $1.2B | $730M | $16M | $422M | -- | |
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Financial Ratios
LPX
Sector
P/E ratio
16.18x
16.31x
PEG ratio
0.12x
0.00x
P/B ratio
3.97x
1.30x
Price / LTM sales
2.31x
1.47x
Growth Metrics
LPX
Sector
Revenue growth
3.34%
1.31%
Earnings growth
9.88%
--
Revenue (5-year growth)
4.95%
3.88%
Earnings forecast
$0.84
$0.03
Profitability
LPX
Sector
Profitability FY 2024
$832M
$59.7K
Return on invested capital
21.2%
2.08%
Return on assets
16.67%
1.35%
Return on equity
25.7%
2.84%
Earnings Date
Last Earnings Date
Feb
19
Next Earnings Date
May
8
Estimated Next Earnings Date
May
21
Balance Sheet
LPX
Sector
Total cash
$340M
$2.7M
Short term investments
--
$448.2K
Total assets
$2.6B
$24.4M
Long term debt
$348M
$95.7M
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